THE GREAT DIVIDE
Whether or not you believe in man-made global warming is the defining issue of our times. Whether it is a municipal land use planning decision, an inter provincial infrastructure decision, or the decision to have a child, global warming is supposed to be an integral part of the equation. Indeed, the best way to discover how someone votes is to simply ask them if they believe in man-made global warming. If they say yes ….. you can rest assured they are Left-of-Centre.
In 1859, we got into “The Pig War” with the Americans because some Yankee named Lyman Cultar gunned down a British black boer for rooting around in his garden. So it is not beyond the realm of possibility that Canada could split up and disintegrate over the belief that the harmless, odorless, colorless, tasteless plant food called CO2 is going to cause catastrophic global warming.
SOME BASIC CLIMATE FACTS
Since the Media is completely inundated with climate change horror stories, and our politicians are devising ways to spend billions while they impose economic stultifying carbon taxes, it may be useful to review some of the indisputable climate science facts.
Notwithstanding the steady shrieking to the contrary, the global mean temperature is not increasing at an alarming rate. The actual fact is that in the past 150 years, the global mean temperature has increased a mere 0,8 degrees C. Given that 150 years ago the planet was emerging from the Mini Ice Age, it is rather unsurprising to discover that the global mean temperature has been increasing. And when it is recognized that a large percentage of that 0.8 degree increase in temperature is from purely natural causes and is not man-made, the howls of catastrophic man-made global warming take on the ambiance of a diabolical fairy tale.
Despite all the demonizing propaganda, CO2 is not a pollutant or a hazardous substance. CO2 is a colorless, odorless, tasteless, harmless plant food and the clouds of black smoke billowing our of industrial plants in the global warming T.V. films are comprised of sulfur, soot, and other particulates.
CLIMATE SCIENCE MYTHS
Unlike the established sciences, the politicized world of climate science seems to be built on a series of myths:
MYTH # 1
CO2 is the primary driver of climate as it operates like a thermostat and so all we have to do is dial back the “CO2 thermostat” and the climate crisis will be averted.
In actual fact, CO2 is not the primary driver of climate change as the sun, oceanic cycles, and a myriad of other natural forces play a much larger part in determining climate than does CO2. The empirical data shows that any increase in CO2 occurs about 700 years AFTER a global warming has occurred. When the planets temperature increases because of increased sun spot activity or for some other reason, the temperature of the oceans warms and as a consequence CO2 bubbles out of the oceans and into the atmosphere. Increased CO2 in the atmosphere is a RESULT and not the CAUSE of global warming.
MYTH # 2
The assertion by Obama and others is that there is a consensus because “97% of scientists agree climate change is real, man-made, and dangerous”
All scientists agree that “climate is changing” because climate is a chaotic systems which is eternally in flux. And most scientists agree that human activity has SOME effect on climate as evidenced by urban heat islands. Where the scientists disagree is on how much effect human activity has on global temperature. Many many scientists maintain that the effect of human activity on climate is relatively minor.
The Zimmerman/Doran survey which first claimed the “97% figure” was fact checked and the fact checkers found that only 79 out of the 3146 scientists surveyed considered human activity a major driver of climate change. Another survey by John Cook claimed the “97% consensus” and that claim was completely debunked by fact checkers. Professor Legates of the U. of Delaware examined the same research papers as did John Cook and found that only 41 out of all the 11,944 papers they both examined endorsed the claim that human activity is causing most of the warming.
In contrast the Oregon Petition Project was circulated and more than 31,000 scientists signed this Petition which said “there is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of …carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earths climate.”
So the idea that we should believe the global warming alarmists because “97% of all climate scientists believe global warming is caused by human activity” is an assertion without factual foundation.
MYTH # 3
The Planet is at a “tipping point” and if a little more CO2 is added to the atmosphere it will result in an amplification of the present global warming and result in a run away catastrophic global warming.
Although most scientists recognize that CO2 ,as a greenhouse gas, does contribute to “trapping” heat that is irradiated from the earth and more CO2 will result in an increase in global temperature …. this is not the end of the cycle. As the earth’s temperature warms, the surface of the oceans warms. As the oceans warm this results in an increased amount of water evaporation from the oceans. This increased evaporation of H20 forms droplets of water in the atmosphere which result in an increase in the quantity of clouds. This increased cloud cover blocks heat energy irradiating from the sun and the planet goes into a cooling cycle. In other words, the planet has a natural system by which the global temperature is kept in balance. If this were not so ….. planet earth would have burned up long before you got to read this article.
MYTH # 4
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] is a collection of the worlds leading climatologist who objective is to determine whether or not man-made global warming is real and serious and since they have done so … they are the best authority on the topic and their pronouncements should be considered conclusive.
The IPCC is not the Bible on climate change. Its mandate is not to determine whether human activity is the primary driver of climate change … its mandate is to assume that human activity is a significant factor in climate change and to quantitatively assess its potential impacts and the options for adaptation and mitigation of global warming.
Here is their mandate as taken from the IPPC’s own website: “…. to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open, and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Since its mandate is to assume and analyze man-made global warming … it is small wonder that this large group of bureaucrats and small group of climate scientists regularly publish their reports confirming that man-made global warming is a crisis that can only be solved with tons of tax dollars.
This man-made global cooling / global warming / climate change agenda has been going on for over 40 years. During that time there has been no dramatic global warming despite hundreds of predictions by climate scientists that the Apocalypse is just about to occur. Possibly it is time that the Western Democracies put an end to this highly politicized “science” and returned to pursuing Truth rather than pursuing tax dollars to fund ever more lavish international conferences, global warming studies, and massive propaganda.